oracle choice

Recommender tests

How to test method selection: Tarot, Lenormand, Runes, I-Ching, Moon, Astrology, Symbols, Dreams.

The recommender should help choose a language of response, not claim one oracle is stronger than another.

method_fit_click

Click to a method after guidance.

Click does not prove the recommendation was right.

switch_method_rate

How many users switch method after guidance.

High switching can mean curiosity or confusion.

question_completed

Whether the user reached question completion after recommendation.

Do not complicate entry with a long quiz.

Write the hypothesis

Formula: if we change X for audience Y, metric Z will move because a specific friction disappears.

  • There is one main changed element.
  • There is one primary metric and one guardrail metric.
  • There is a pre-written decision after the test.

Launch quietly

Start with a small traffic share or one segment, especially when testing payment, email, trust, or beginners.

  • The test can be turned off without deploy chaos.
  • Events are logged without private questions or scroll text.
  • Support knows what changed.

Read the result

Do not declare a winner from one day. Check device split, traffic source, complaints, refunds, and behavior quality after payment.

  • The result is compared with baseline.
  • The guardrail did not worsen.
  • The outcome is written into the experiment log.

experiment cards

  • Three-question recommender versus one-question recommender.
  • Method cards by situation versus method cards by tradition.
  • Beginner default path versus free choice first.

rollback rules

  • Rollback if users abandon more often before the question.
  • Rollback if copy sounds like 'only this method knows the truth'.

output

  • Winning recommender rule and affected routes.
  • Updated method descriptions in search and halls.

red flags

  • The recommender collects overly personal data.
  • The system hides the free path.

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